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The monthly magazine, October 2026 · Economy › Poverty and inequality

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World Bank: poverty at $4.20 a day fell from 57.7 to 16.1 per cent of Indians between 2011 and 2023

LeadPrelims and Mains31 Oct 2026

Why in news

  • In October 2026 the World Bank's Poverty and Equity Brief for India said the country had made "remarkable progress" against poverty.
  • The share of Indians living below the $4.20 a day line fell from 57.7 per cent in 2011 to 16.1 per cent in 2023. About 49.6 crore people crossed the line in twelve years.
  • Extreme poverty, measured at $3.00 a day, fell from 27.1 per cent to 2.6 per cent over the same period.

Background

  • India has had no official poverty line since the Tendulkar line of 2009. The Rangarajan committee proposed a higher line in 2014. The government never adopted it. Since then the World Bank's lines, fixed in purchasing power parity dollars, and the Multidimensional Poverty Index have filled the gap. The table sets out the four counts.
  • The Bank's estimates rest on the Household Consumption Expenditure Surveys. The long gap in Indian surveys between 2011-12 and 2022-23 is why the comparison runs from 2011 to 2023.
Four ways India's poverty is countedWho computes itWhat it measuresLatest figure
Tendulkar line, 2009The government, the official lineConsumption below a rupee line21.9 per cent poor in 2011-12. No update since.
$3.00 a dayWorld BankExtreme poverty, the typical line of the poorest countries, at 2021 purchasing power parity27.1 per cent in 2011 to 2.6 per cent in 2023
$4.20 a dayWorld BankThe typical line of lower middle income countries such as India, at 2021 parity57.7 per cent in 2011 to 16.1 per cent in 2023. Projected 12.1 per cent by 2028.
Multidimensional Poverty IndexUnited Nations Development Programme and the Oxford Poverty and Human Development InitiativeDeprivation in at least a third of ten indicators of health, education and living standards, not income53.8 per cent in 2005-06 to 16.4 per cent in 2019-21
Poverty in India, 2011 and 2023 World Bank Poverty and Equity Brief, October 2026. Lines at 2021 purchasing power parity. $4.20 a day line lower middle income countries 57.7 per cent 2011 16.1 per cent 2023 $3.00 a day line extreme poverty 27.1 per cent 2011 2.6 per cent 2023 Multidimensional Poverty Index UNDP and Oxford 53.8 per cent 2005-06 16.4 per cent 2019-21 What the brief adds About 49.6 crore people crossed the $4.20 line between 2011 and 2023. Poverty at that line is projected to fall to 12.1 per cent by 2028. The government credits consumption growth, more employment, especially of women, and social transfers such as the food subsidy.
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Two lines, two stories

  • The fall is steep on every line, but the lines differ in what they show.
  • On the $3.00 line India has almost ended extreme poverty. On the $4.20 line one Indian in six is still poor.

Analysis

The line decides the story. The same survey gives 2.6 per cent or 16.1 per cent, and neither is wrong.

  • The $3.00 line measures destitution, which India has nearly ended.
  • The $4.20 line measures the standard a lower middle income country sets for itself. India should judge itself by that line.
  • The near poor are the next question. A large share of the population sits just above $4.20 a day. A drought, a spell of inflation or an illness in the family pushes those households back. The 5.54 per cent inflation of the same month is exactly such a shock.
  • Growth and transfers must both continue. The government credits consumption growth, more employment, especially of women, and social transfers such as the food subsidy, which reaches about 81 crore people under the National Food Security Act, 2013. The projection to 2028 holds only if both continue.
  • Jobs without productivity limit the gain. The study on farm workers in the same month found that most of those who left farming entered informal work no more productive than farming. Poverty falls when people move, but incomes rise only when they move to better work.
  • India needs its own line again. A country that measures poverty only by a foreign institution's line, on a survey it ran once a decade until 2022-23, cannot target its schemes well.

The way forward

  • Adopt an official poverty line on the 2022-23 and 2023-24 consumption surveys. Run the survey every year.
  • Keep social protection for the near poor, with pensions and the employment guarantee indexed to prices.
  • Count the vulnerable as well as the poor: how many households sit within a small margin above the line.

Exam lens

  • Prelims:
    • World Bank lines: $3.00 a day for extreme poverty, $4.20 a day for lower middle income countries, both at 2021 purchasing power parity.
    • Poverty at $4.20: 57.7 per cent in 2011 to 16.1 per cent in 2023; about 49.6 crore people crossed the line.
    • Extreme poverty at $3.00: 27.1 to 2.6 per cent.
    • Projection: 12.1 per cent at $4.20 by 2028.
    • Multidimensional Poverty Index: United Nations Development Programme with the Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative; 53.8 per cent in 2005-06 to 16.4 per cent in 2019-21.
    • India's last official line is the Tendulkar line of 2009; the Rangarajan committee of 2014 was not adopted.
  • Mains: "India has reduced extreme poverty, but vulnerability remains high." Discuss in the light of the World Bank's 2026 Poverty and Equity Brief.

Asked before: Prelims 2026 · Mains 2018 GS1 · Mains 2020 GS2

Show the questions
  1. Prelims 2026: Consider the following statements about Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI): 1. MPI is calculated using Alkire-Foster methodology. 2. MPI calculated by NITI Aayog has a total of twelve indicators. 3. Maternal Health and Bank Account are common indicators in the MPI of NITI Aayog and MPI of United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
  2. Mains 2018 GS1: 'Despite implementation of various programmes for eradication of poverty by the government in India, poverty is still existing.' Explain by giving reasons.
  3. Mains 2020 GS2: "The incidence and intensity of poverty are more important in determining poverty based on income alone." In this context analyze the latest United Nations Multidimensional Poverty Index Report.

Connects to

Sources
  • The Hindu, 30 October 2026

Settled facts (dates of Acts, constitutional provisions, standing definitions) are from standard references.

Filed under: Poverty and inequality · The monthly magazine, October 2026